#USChinaTradeTalks a comprehensive summary as high-stakes talks unfold in London:

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🌍 1. Background & Stakes

Tariff Truce in May: In Geneva, both nations agreed to reduce tariffs — the U.S. from 145% to 30% and China from 125% to 10%, in a temporary 90-day pause .

Escalation Pre-Geneva: Earlier this year, the U.S. had slapped 145% tariffs on Chinese imports, while China retaliated with tariffs up to 125% .

Output Shock: China’s exports to the U.S. plummeted ~34–35% in May YoY — the steepest drop since early 2020 — pounding both economies .

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🏛️ 2. London Talks (June 9, 2025)

Delegations Present:

U.S.: Secretary of Treasury Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, Trade Rep Jamieson Greer .

China: Vice Premier He Lifeng leads the delegation .

Agenda Focus:

1. Ensuring China resumes rare-earth exports to U.S. industries.

2. Securing U.S. assurances on easing export controls, especially tech and semiconductors .

Market Reaction:

Asian equity markets (Hang Seng, Shanghai) rose ~0.4–1.6% on the optimism .

U.S. indices were steady—S&P flat, Dow slightly down, Nasdaq modestly up .

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🔍 3. Signs of a Thaw

Boeing Delivery Resumes: A new 737 MAX was flown to China — first since tariff surge — highlighting easing business ties .

Rare-Earth Shipments Partially Restarted: China issued some rare-earth export licenses; U.S. reportedly signaled readiness to ease tech curbs .

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⚠️ 4. Lingering Complexities

Mistrust & Divergent Goals: China stresses multilateralism and stable trade, while the U.S. pushes bilateral leverage via export controls and tariffs .

Trade Talks May Be Modest: Analysts caution that without major structural shifts—like fair-market access or supply-chain reforms—outcomes may be shallow .

Political Headwinds: U.S. lawmakers challenge Trump’s tariff authority, and Trump's own comments suggest China "violated" the Geneva accord .

📌 5. Key Takeaways

🔑 Takeaway What It Means

Temporary De-escalation Talks aim to maintain the Geneva truce and build confidence,