• Entry: 0.348 – 0.354
• Stop-loss (STL): 0.360 (cut losses if the price breaks above the Kumo cloud + closes above the volume distribution area)
• Take-profit (TP):
• TP1: 0.332
• TP2: 0.318
• TP3: 0.305 (take profit gradually according to the volume support area and old bottom)
⛔ Note: This is a short order in a downward trend. The ARB price is in the distribution area, with no clear reversal signs. The chart shows a weak bounce, low volume, and MACD – Ichimoku signals continue to support the downward trend.
⸻
🔎 Explanation of the suggested order:
1. Ichimoku:
• The ARBUSDT price is stuck in the Kumo cloud, not clearly breaking upwards.
• The front Kumo is red + thin, indicating that the market is in a waiting zone for a breakout but leaning towards decline.
• Tenkan and Kijun are flat, reflecting that the market is moving sideways after a strong dump → just a technical bounce.
👉 If the price does not break above the cloud successfully, the likelihood of testing the bottom again is very high.
⸻
2. Volume Profile & Delta:
• The peak recovery area has a volume of up to 327.452M, but the positive Delta buying force is only 3.394M → weak recovery, showing signs of a bull trap.
• The previous dump area has extremely strong negative Delta: -188.238M, confirming a phase of intense liquidation.
• The price is currently in the volume overlap area, easily rejected by selling pressure lurking around the 0.355 – 0.360 area.
⚠️ If rejected, the price will retest support at 0.318 – 0.305.
⸻
3. MACD:
• MACD shows signs of a downward cross, the histogram is shifting from green to red.
• The buying force is clearly weakening → high likelihood of entering the next decline.
• No reversal signal from MACD yet, so it is not suitable to long at this time.
⸻
📌 Conclusion:
ARBUSDT is in a weak recovery phase after the dump, the price is being rejected at the Kumo cloud resistance area + volume. There are no clear reversal signs. MACD, Ichimoku, and cash flow are all leaning towards the sell side. Shorting the 0.348 – 0.354 area is a trend-following order, low risk, suitable for short-term swing strategy.
⸻
🔖 #dolugcrypto – A trade following the short-term swing trade direction, suitable for disciplined traders, actively cutting losses. Not recommending all-in, manage risks up to 2% of the account.