$ETH Current Price: $2,515.52, 🔼 +1.77% | “Layer 1 / Layer 2” Rotation Theme
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🔍 Key Observations
1. 📈 Price & Trend
Price is slightly below EMA(7): $2,523.73
Trading above EMA(25): $2,485.93 and EMA(99): $2,314.92
24h Range: $2,471.20 – $2,544.36
Chart suggests consolidation after bounce off $2,471.20, still in a mid-uptrend structure
2. 📊 Momentum Indicators
MACD:
DIF: 53.33
DEA: 86.60
Histogram: –33.26 → momentum still negative
RSI(6): 46.68 → in neutral zone, slight bearish bias
3. 🔄 Volume
24h Vol (ETH): 256,843.83
24h Vol (USDT): $643.95M
Volume is below 10-day moving average → ⚠️ low conviction in move
4. 🛡️ Support & Resistance
Support:
$2,485.93 (EMA25)
$2,471.20 (24h low)
Resistance:
$2,523.73 (EMA7)
$2,611.88 → $2,788.00 zone (recent tops)
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📅 Price Outlook
Range: $2,470–$2,545 consolidation
Upside Breakout: $2,545+ → targets $2,611 / $2,680+
Downside Risk: Below $2,471 → $2,385 → $2,315
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📈 Trade Strategy
🟢 Long Setup (Buy)
Entry: If ETH closes above $2,525 with rising volume + MACD histogram flips positive
Targets:
🎯 $2,611
🎯 $2,680
🎯 $2,788 (major resistance zone)
Stop Loss: Below $2,471 (24h low)
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🔴 Short Setup (Sell)
Entry: Breakdown below $2,471 with RSI <45 + bearish volume spike
Targets:
🎯 $2,385
🎯 $2,315 (EMA99 zone)
Stop Loss: Above $2,525
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⚠️ Risk Management
✅ Use <1.5% capital per trade
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2
⏱️ Hold time: 12–48 hours max — avoid weekend holding
💬 Monitor ETH/BTC pair — any weakness in BTC could pull ETH back
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✅ Conclusion
ETH is holding above EMA25, but needs strength above $2,525 to resume trend.
🟢 Bullish breakout >$2,525 = play toward $2,611–$2,788
🔴 Bearish breakdown <$2,471 = short down to $2,385
📌 Watch volume and MACD for entry signal confirmation.
📉 Low volume = expect chop / wait for clarity.
Not financial advice. Always use risk protection.
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