#Análisis Technical
SOL/USDT (1D)
- June 07
Current Price: 151.87 USDT
Volume: 746,418 SOL
📌 Indicator Summary
- General Trend: 🔴 Bearish (confirmed by multiple indicators).
- Market Momentum: Weak, with short-term oversold signals.
- Volatility: Moderate (5.74%), with an ATR of 8.78 USDT, suggesting daily movements of ~±5.8%.
📊 Analysis
1️⃣ RSI (14): 41.85 → Neutral with Bearish Bias
- The RSI is below 50, indicating weakness.
- There is no divergence, suggesting that bearish momentum is not yet exhausted.
2️⃣ MFI (14): 29.38 → OVERSOLD
- The Money Flow Index is in the oversold zone, which could anticipate a technical rebound.
- However, in a strong downtrend, the MFI can remain oversold for an extended period.
3️⃣ CCI (14): -76 → Bearish (but close to possible rebound)
- The CCI is in negative territory, but if it rises above -100, it could indicate a temporary relief.
4️⃣ Bollinger Bands (20,2): Normal Range
- The price is not at the extremes of the bands, suggesting no extreme squeezes (neither classic overbought nor oversold).
- The lower band (~140-145 USDT) could act as support if the price continues to fall.
5️⃣ SMA (50): Price Below → Dynamic Resistance
- The price is below the SMA50, reinforcing the bearish structure.
- A recovery above ~160-165 USDT (SMA50) would be necessary to change the bias.
6️⃣ MACD: Ongoing Bearish Cross
- The MACD histogram is negative and the lines are diverging, confirming bearish momentum.
7️⃣ ADX: 20-25 → Weak Trend
- The ADX does not show a strong trend, but the -DI dominates over the +DI, supporting seller control.
8️⃣ Parabolic SAR: Points Above Price → Bearish
- The SAR confirms the current bearish trend.
9️⃣ TD Sequential: "11 Down" → Possible Seller Exhaustion
- The countdown of 11 bearish candles suggests possible exhaustion and a rebound in the coming candles.
🎯 Likely Scenarios
✅ Bearish Scenario (60% Probability)
- Short Target: 145-140 USDT (support at lower BB band and psychological level).
- If volume increases, it could extend to 130-135 USDT (previous support).
🔄 Rebound Scenario (40% Probability)
- If the MFI and TD Sequential drive a relief, the price could retrace to 160-165 USDT (SMA50 and resistance).
- Key: Monitor if the RSI exceeds 50 and the MACD reduces its bearish divergence.
📌 Conclusion and Strategy
- Main Bias: Bearish, but with oversold signals that could generate a technical rebound.
- Suggested Action:
- Sellers: Wait for rallies towards 158-162 USDT to look for shorts with a target at 145 USDT.
- Buyers: Wait for confirmation of reversal (close above SMA50 or RSI > 50 + high volume).
- Stop-Loss: A daily close above 165 USDT would invalidate the bearish scenario.
🔎 Watch: Bitcoin (BTC), as SOL often correlates with the overall market.
Remember:
Cryptocurrency trading carries high risk. Always conduct thorough research and consider consulting with your Advisor, Admin, or Financial Tutor before making investment decisions.
vc_custy
🫖☕️😎
