One, core principle: tools are the blade, mindset is the soul
1. Contract essence:
◦ Leverage is an amplifier, not a shortcut to wealth. Large funds are used for hedging, and retail investors need to be wary of the 'meat grinder effect.'
◦ Formula: Actual risk = leverage multiplier \times volatility; mainstream coins suggest 3-5 times, altcoins ≤ 2 times.
2. Trend is king:
◦ 80% of profits come from 20% of one-sided markets; in a fluctuating market, use light positions to trial and error; in a trend, roll over positions to amplify profits.
◦ Mnemonic: If there is no pullback in an uptrend, expect higher; if there is no rebound in a downtrend, expect deeper.
Two, survival rule: risk management is the lifeline
1. Mechanical stop loss:
◦ Single trade loss ≤ 3% of principal; risk of liquidation drops by 80%.
◦ Case: With a principal of 1000U, if losses reach 80U, exit immediately to avoid the vicious cycle of 'holding onto a position → liquidation.'
2. Position management:
◦ Position allocation strategy:
▪ Assault team (30%): short-term sniping, 5% profit-taking
▪ Defensive team (60%): trend positions, 20% stop loss
▪ Strategic reserve (10%): for extreme market conditions.
3. Leverage selection:
◦ Conservative: 3 times | Aggressive: ≤ 10 times
◦ Black swan alert: for every 1x increase in leverage, the probability of liquidation rises exponentially.
Three, technical essentials: simplicity is effective
1. Candlestick language
◦ Key formations:
▪ Breaking previous highs + contraction pullback → bullish signal
▪ False breakout + increased volume stagnation → bearish trap.
2. Moving average system
◦ Golden cross/death cross must be combined with volume; signals above the 4-hour level are more reliable.
Four, mindset training: combating human weaknesses
1. Emotion management
◦ Three self-check elements before opening a position: no emotions, have signals, bring a stop loss.
◦ Mandatory cooling-off: trading is prohibited within 24 hours after a loss.
2. Anti-FOMO rule
◦ When others flaunt their profits, ask yourself: 'Does this align with my trading plan?'
3. Profit withdrawal
◦ Withdraw 30% to a segregated account for every 100% earned, reducing the 'gambler's mindset.'
Five, ultimate mindset: long-termism
• Trade less: top traders have an average trading frequency 63% lower than retail investors.
• Diligent review: record the emotional triggers for each trade (e.g., 'placing orders late at night due to anxiety').
• Survive: Compound interest formula = (principal \times win rate)^{time}; time is the only advantage for retail investors.
Conclusion:
The market always rewards survivors who practice 'rationality + discipline.' Save this article, and revisit it before each trade; let’s reach the peak of wealth together in the process of trading!#交易哲学