Traders Trump ke volatility wave ka faida utha rahay hain, Fed rate cuts ke andazay mein
Markets mein uncertainty barhti ja rahi hai. Traders risky decisions se bach rahay hain jab ke US President Donald Trump ke aggressive trade policies se global economy aur zyada pressure mein hai. Iss environment mein Wall Street par kuch log Federal Reserve ke agay ke qadam se related positions le rahay hain.
May ke dauran, hedge funds ne achi performance dikhayi – dollar ke kamzor honay se unko faida hua. Yeh returns zyadatar un unexpected market movements ka result thay jo April ke global trade shocks ke baad samnay aaye.
Stocks ne kuch relief zaroor diya, lekin commodities aur bonds zyada unstable sabit huay. Bond markets mein selloff dekhne ko mila, khas tor par US aur Japan jese countries ke badhtay qarz ki wajah se.
Rate cuts par uncertainty barqarar hai
Swaps market ke mutabiq, 2025 ke end tak do 25-basis-point cuts ki umeed hai. Lekin options market mein mixed signals hain — kuch log no-cut scenario ko expect kar rahay hain, jabke doosray multiple cuts ki possibility dekh rahay hain. Yeh divide Trump ke tariffs aur economic impact ke hawalay se hai, jo inflation aur employment par asar daal saktay hain.
Banks ke analysis bhi mukhtalif hain. Goldman Sachs kehta hai ke Fed rate cuts delay ho saktay hain, jabke Citi short-term cuts ki umeed kar raha hai aur investors ko risk management ki salahiyat ka mashwara de raha hai.
SOFR Options aur Treasuries par focus barh gaya hai
Options market mein “no-cut” positions kaafi barh gayi hain — 250,000 contracts tak ka open interest record kiya gaya hai. Saath hi kuch traders ultra-low rate scenarios ko bhi consider kar rahay hain. Zyada tar activity specific strike prices ke aas paas ho rahi hai, jahan log risk aur reward dono ko manage kar rahay hain.
June, September, aur December ke liye kuch options sabse zyada active nazar aayi hain, jahan multiple layered positions banayi gayi hain taake uncertainty ke against coverage ho sake.
Hedge funds ki performance aur market moves
JPMorgan ke data ke mutabiq, hedge funds ne May mein 3% ka return generate kiya. Stock-picking aur multi-strategy approaches dono ne positive results dikhaye. Year-to-date returns bhi improve huay hain, jo unki trading strategy aur market adaptation ko reflect kartay hain.
Treasury client survey ke mutabiq, investors ab longer-term securities mein interest le rahay hain. CFTC reports kehti hain ke positions mein kaafi tabdeeli hui hai — hedge funds aur asset managers dono ne apne exposure adjust kiye hain.
Crypto market ka haal
Digital assets bhi is volatility ka hissa rahay. Bitcoin ne May ke dauran 12% ka growth dikhaya, lekin recent days mein kuch correction bhi aayi. Ethereum ne BTC se better performance dikhayi aur overall market cap mein fluctuations dekhne ko milay.
Crypto investors bhi global uncertainty aur rate-related changes ka asar mehsoos kar rahay hain, aur market sentiment rapid changes se guzra hai.
