Ethereum Bull-Bear Showdown Night: Technical Anomalies Trigger Alerts

1. Technical Risks Lurking

Beneath the seemingly calm market:

Golden Cross Trap: Although MA7/MA30 have formed a golden cross, prices remain constrained by the $2650 resistance level, with three morning attempts being thwarted by tens of thousands of ETH sell orders.

Suffocating Contraction: The width of the BOLL channel has contracted to historical extremes (only 4.3%), and the volatility powder keg has been ignited.

Deadly Divergence: The MACD red bars are quietly shortening, while prices are making new highs, with a top divergence signal flashing on the 15-minute chart.

2. News-Driven Bull-Bear Clash

Today, keep an eye on three key fires:

Bullish Fuel:

BlackRock's ETH ETF has received informal clearance from the SEC (breakthrough progress on staking terms).

StarkNet's on-chain TVL surged 40% in one day, with Gas fees dropping to 3 gwei.

Bearish Bombshells:

Federal Reserve official Waller stated: No interest rate cuts are possible before September.

Whale 0x7a1 transferred 32,000 ETH to Binance.

U.S. non-farm payroll data tonight at 20:30.

3. My Real Trading Manual

Response Strategies (personal holding 30%):

Defensive Position:

Gradually buy in the 2580-2600 range (stop loss at 2560).

Short at $2650 (hedging against black swan events).

Withdrawal Signals:

Volume breaks below BOLL mid-line at $2566 → Liquidate and observe.

Non-farm data exceeds expectations → Switch to short positions to chase down.

Hard-Earned Lessons: BOLL contraction + whale movements = a one-sided market is guaranteed within 72 hours.

🌪️ Retail Survival Guide

“Don’t be lured by false breakouts!” This is the most expensive lesson of the year. The current market is like a fully drawn bowstring; better to miss out than become cannon fodder:

If it holds above 2580: Weekly target 2750.

If it breaks below 2566: Daily head and shoulders formation, plunging to 2400.

#EthereumBullBearStrangle #NonFarmDataDeterminesFate

The market always respects risk; the survival rule for a decade-long retail investor is: Survive to enjoy the bull market.

(Risk Warning: Personal views based on hard-earned lessons, DYOR)

⚠️ Tonight's Market Watching Orders:

If non-farm data exceeds 250,000, immediately initiate the “jump ship procedure”! #我的COS交易 $ETH

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