#PCEMarketWatch

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📊 PCE Data & Market Reactions – May 2025 Macro Pulse

Inflation remains sticky… and Wall Street is still nervous.

🗓️ May 2025 Update:

The latest PCE inflation data came in line with expectations, but that wasn’t enough to calm the markets.

📉 Stock-index futures — S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq-100 — all slipped by around 0.4% post-report.

🔎 Interpretation: The market may be pricing in slower rate cuts or doubting disinflation’s staying power.

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📆 Flashback: Earlier PCE Signals

📍 March 2025:

Headline PCE rose 2.3% YoY, leading to a pullback in U.S. equities.

It reinforced the Fed’s caution, despite easing CPI numbers.

📍 February 2025:

Core PCE (Fed’s preferred gauge) climbed 0.4% MoM, just above forecasts (0.3%).

12-month inflation held steady — signaling persistent underlying price pressures.

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💡 My Take:

The market isn’t reacting just to numbers — it’s reacting to what the Fed might do next.

Sticky inflation + Fed silence = uncertainty.

Until we see a clean move toward the Fed’s 2% target, expect continued volatility.

📉 Dip? Possible. 📈 Relief rally? Only if core inflation clearly drops.

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📢 Stay sharp, not shaken. These quiet data days are often the calm before the next Fed storm.

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