$XRP open interest has surged to nearly $5 billion, reflecting a wave of speculative positioning and setting the stage for a potential price breakout.

The token is trading around $2.20, locked in a tight consolidation range — a classic precursor to volatile moves.

Elevated open interest raises the odds of a short squeeze, but could also amplify downside liquidations in the absence of a clear trigger.

$XRP soaring open interest is drawing trader attention, as the token’s derivatives market shows signs of heating up. As of Tuesday morning, XRP is trading near $2.20, with open interest nearing $5 billion — a level that signals heavy speculative involvement.

“XRP’s open interest surged to nearly $5 billion over the weekend, indicating increased speculative activity as traders take large positions in derivatives,” Bitget chief market analyst Ryan Lee told CoinDesk. “This spike suggests strong potential momentum, with market participants bracing for a decisive move,” he added.

The price action remains tightly consolidated, a technical pattern that often precedes sharp breakouts. Coupled with consistent spot market buying, sentiment among bulls appears to be building.

Historically, similar conditions in XRP have led to sudden rallies — often catching short sellers off-guard and triggering a wave of liquidations known as a short squeeze. However, while the setup looks primed, the ultimate direction remains uncertain.

Lee cautioned that without a clear fundamental driver, the elevated open interest could be a double-edged sword. “Without a catalyst, such high levels of open interest could exacerbate volatility in either direction,” he said. “A bullish breakout may trigger a short squeeze, but any wave of profit-taking or macro risk-off sentiment could just as easily lead to sharp downside pressure.”

Traders are now watching closely for potential catalysts — including developments related to the $XRP Ledger (XRPL) and any signs of institutional ETF interest — which could tilt the balance in XRP’s favor.