🔍1. Technical situation
ETH/USD is in a consolidation phase — the price is moving in a rather narrow range, without a clear upward or downward trend.
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The upper limit of this consolidation is the resistance zone of USD 2,664–2,717 (green rectangle on the chart).
The lower limit is the support zone of USD 2,495–2,446 (red rectangle).
2. Potential formation
A potential double bottom formation can be seen on the chart, which is a classic trend reversal formation to an upward one.
The lows occurred around May 25–31 and at the end of May.
Confirmation of the formation would be a breakout of the resistance zone of USD 2,664–2,717.
3. Technical indicators
RSI:
Currently, the RSI has rebounded from zone 40 and is heading up. Exceeding the 50 level may be a signal of buyers' strength and support for the bullish scenario.
On the chart: "Potential rebound signal - watch break above 50"
MACD:
MACD is close to generating a momentum change signal (potential intersection of the MACD and signal lines).
On the chart: "MACD near signal - watch for momentum shift"
4. Scenarios for the coming hours/days
Bullish scenario (up):
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If the price breaks above USD 2,717 (exit from consolidation upwards), a dynamic move towards USD 2,800 can be expected.
Support for this scenario will be signals from RSI and MACD.
Bearish scenario (down):
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If the price rejects the resistance zone and returns below USD 2,446, the risk of going down to the next support in the area of USD 2,300 increases.
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Summary
Key Levels:
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Support: $2,495-$2,446
Resistance: $2,664-$2,717
Currently, the market is in consolidation with an attempt to break out to the top.
Watch for: Resistance breakout (potential bullish signal) and support reactions (potential bearish).
Pattern: Potential double bottom - needs confirmation.
