1. Supply Reality Check
$XRP circulating supply: 100 billion
- Bitcoin supply: 21 million (divisible to 2.1 quadrillion satoshis)
- Ratio: 1 XRP = 21,000 satoshis
2. Current Valuation (June 2025)
- 1 XRP = $2.20
- 21,000 satoshis = ~$22
- $BTC is already pricing XRP at a 10:1 discount
3. Bitcoin Dominance Projection
- If BTC reaches $100M ($1/satoshi):
- 21,000 satoshis = $21,000
- XRP's absolute max value = ~$20 (in hyperinflated dollars)
- Purchasing power adjustment:
- $20 future USD ≈ $1 today (assuming 95% dollar devaluation)
4. The Stablecoin Paradox
XRP's extreme supply makes it behave more like:
- A quasi-stablecoin (volatility dampener)
- A "liquidity bridge" rather than a store of value
- Fundamentally incapable of Bitcoin-like appreciation
Visual Comparison
- Tower of 100 billion XRP coins vs. small stack of 21M BTC
- Price trajectory curves crossing at 99.9% BTC dominance
-Why This Matters
- For traders: XRP's 100B supply creates permanent sell pressure
- For HODLers: Every 10% BTC rise = XRP must lose relative value
- For developers: Confirms XRP's best utility is transactional, not speculative
Final Verdict:
"$XRP reaching $10,000 would require either:
1) The deletion of 99.99% of its supply, or
2) A dollar collapse making $10,000 = today's $0.50"