đ$7.5 trillion leverage: How Asian capital holds the fate of the U.S. bond market
Over the past quarter-century, Asian economies have funneled $7.5 trillion into U.S. financial markets, accumulating record exposure to American bonds and equities. Following the 1997 Asian financial crisis, countries across the region adopted a defensive strategyâstockpiling U.S. assets to stabilize currencies and hedge against volatility. Today, Japan and China lead with $1.8T and $1.1T respectively, followed by Taiwan ($650B), Hong Kong ($470B), South Korea ($340B), and Singapore ($320B).
While China is scaling back its holdings and moving into gold and yuan-based assets, the rest of Asia is filling the void. Japan, in particular, is doubling down. But this growing reliance on Japanese capital raises systemic risks: with Japanâs debt-to-GDP ratio exceeding 260% and demographic headwinds mounting, any internal shockâlike a failed yield curve control or pension fund selloffâcould trigger a cascade of asset liquidation abroad.
Such an unwinding would drive U.S. Treasury yields higher, pressure the dollar, and destabilize global credit markets. Crypto markets, which often move counter to fiat system stress, could see intensified inflows in a flight-to-alternatives scenario.
Is Americaâs financial strength now dependent on Asiaâand can crypto be the hedge when that dependency cracks?#AMAGE