• Position: Sell (SELL)
• Entry: Aim to SELL in the 0.00865 – 0.00880 range (the area of convergence of Kumo cloud and dense Volume Profile)
• Stop Loss: Above the 0.00900 range (recent high + above the Ichimoku cloud)
• Take Profit 1: 0.00805 (short-term old low)
• Take Profit 2: 0.00760 (extended low if breakdown continues)
• Expected R:R ratio: 2.5:1 to 3:1 if not stopped out during the retracement
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📊 Technical analysis and strategic points:
1. Price Structure (Market Structure):
• After a prolonged accumulation phase around the 0.00920 – 0.01000 range, the price of EPT has broken down below the strong support area with high liquidity.
• Clear down structure with lower highs and lower lows → downtrend has been established.
2. Ichimoku Kinko Hyo:
• The price is completely below the Kumo cloud, Tenkan and Kijun are both strongly downward, Chikou Span is also below the candles → The entire system gives a bearish signal.
• The future cloud is thick and red → High probability that the downtrend will continue.
3. MACD:
• The MACD histogram is contracting and slightly changing direction, which may signal a technical retracement, but both MACD lines remain below the 0 line and show negative divergence → Not enough strength to confirm a reversal.
4. Order Flow & Volume Profile:
• The trading volume is concentrated in the 0.00870 – 0.00910 area is very large (995M volume), but the delta has turned strongly negative (–194M) → Confirms distribution and liquidation, not accumulation.
• This is the 'dead supply zone', where sellers completely control the liquidity.
5. Current price behavior:
• After a strong decline, the price is showing signs of small accumulation below the previous distribution area. If the price retraces to test the 0.00865 – 0.00880 area and fails → it will be an ideal SELL entry point, taking advantage of the pullback of the main trend.
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📌 Summary of points:
All technical factors agree that EPT is in a mid-term downtrend. Aiming to SELL in the retracement area with a short SL and deep TP helps optimize R:R and minimize risk. If the price does not retrace but breaks the low → can enter on the breakout when the candle closes below 0.00800 with high volume.
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