Current price: ~0.610 USDT | 24h volatility: -14%
Main signal: RSI oversold in multiple timeframes, long-term downtrend still prevails.
⸻
🔍 Multi-timeframe technical analysis
• 15 minutes: RSI(6) = 46 | MACD neutral | Price fluctuating around MA7 → May bounce to 0.625 then drop further.
• 1 hour: RSI(6) = 11 (extremely oversold) | Volume increases sharply → May technically recover to MA7 = 0.666.
• 4 hours: RSI(6/12) = 16/18 (oversold) | MACD narrowing → May have a slight recovery but no confirmed reversal.
• 1 day: RSI(6) = 21 | MACD deeply negative | MA clearly diverging downwards → Long-term downtrend remains strong.
⸻
🎯 Trading strategy
✅ Futures trading (prefer Short)
Main scenario – Short according to the trend
• Entry: 0.616 – 0.625 (MA7 area 15m & 1h)
• TP: 0.590 → 0.550
• SL: 0.630 – 0.635 (above MA25)
• Probability: ~70%
• Reason: Extremely low RSI, clear downtrend across multiple timeframes.
Alternative scenario – Short-term Long (high risk)
• Condition: RSI(6) on 1h/4h timeframe exceeds 30 + price exceeds MA7
• Entry: 0.616
• TP: 0.666
• SL: 0.610
• Probability: 30% → Only consider when there is a confirmation signal.
⸻
⚠️ Risk management
• R:R ratio: Minimum 1:2
• Maximum leverage: 3–5x
• Closely monitor BTC fluctuations: If BTC breaks $106,000, altcoins may drop more → Do not Long against the trend!
⸻
Conclusion: Prioritize Short when price retraces technically. Avoid FOMO Long when there is no clear reversal signal. Capital preservation is the top priority in a deep bear market.
