Latest market data as of May 30, 2025

As of today, the price of Ethereum is $2,640.30, with a 24-hour decline of 0.13%, and an intraday fluctuation range of $2,559.88 to $2,744.329. Despite short-term pressure, the cumulative increase over the past 30 days has reached 46.17%, showing a gradual warming of market sentiment.

🔍 I. Key Market Dynamics

  1. Institutional funds continue to flow in

    • Yesterday (May 29), the net inflow of US spot ETH ETFs was $91.9 million, reaching a near half-month high. Among them, BlackRock (ETHA) contributed $50.4 million, and Fidelity (FETH) saw an inflow of $38.3 million, indicating strong institutional demand for ETH allocation.

    • The continuous increase in ETF positions provides 'bottom support' for ETH, with the position size reaching several billion dollars.

  2. Whale movements attract attention

    • Two whales from the ICO period transferred 1,546.69 ETH (approximately $4.1 million) to exchanges (OKX, Kraken). One address has cumulatively sold 14,398 ETH since March at an average price of $1,977, and short-term selling pressure may suppress price increases.

📊 II. Technical and Fundamental Support

  1. Technical indicators are neutral to bullish

    • Short-term fluctuation range: $2,500-$2,600 is the key support zone, with the 50-day moving average ($2,480) and the 200-day moving average ($2,350) forming a multi-layer defense.

    • Breakout signal: If it stabilizes above $2,600 with volume, the short-term target can be set at $2,700-$2,800; if it falls below $2,470, be cautious of correction risks.

  2. Fundamental benefits continue to ferment

    • Layer 2 ecosystems are active: Layer 2 networks like Arbitrum and Optimism have over a million daily active addresses, and the increase in gas fee revenue reflects a rise in actual demand.

    • Staking rate rises: 31% of ETH has been locked in staking, and liquid staking derivatives (like Lido) further tighten the circulating supply, providing long-term benefits for supply-demand balance.

    • Technical upgrades are advancing: If solutions like sharding are implemented, they will alleviate congestion issues on the mainnet and enhance ETH's core competitiveness as a smart contract platform.

📈 III. Future Trend Forecast: Challenges and Opportunities Coexist

  1. Short-term pressure factors

    • Macroeconomic uncertainty: The Federal Reserve's interest rate policy and geopolitical conflicts may suppress the performance of risk assets, with ETH's volatility potentially exceeding that of Bitcoin.

    • Intensifying competition: Chains like Solana and Avalanche are capturing market share, diverting some developer and user resources.

  2. Medium to long-term catalysts

    • 2025 target price: Finder experts predict ETH may rise to $5,824 (a 120% increase from the current price), potentially reaching $14,4117 by 2030.

    • Regulatory clarity: If the US SEC approves more ETH financial products (such as futures ETFs), it will attract incremental funds into the market.

    • ‘Altcoin season’ rotation: Historical trends show that after Bitcoin's rally slows, funds may shift towards large-cap tokens like Ethereum, driving a catch-up rally.

💎 Conclusion: Steady layout, pay attention to breakout signals

Currently, ETH is in a phase of consolidation and accumulation, with strong technical support. Institutional funds and ecological development provide a long-term value endorsement. In the short term, be wary of whale selling pressure and macro risks. If it breaks through the $2,600 resistance level, it may be a good time to increase positions; in the medium to long term, driven by technological upgrades, deeper staking, and favorable regulations, there remains significant upside potential. Investors can adopt a phased entry strategy, keeping positions within 20% of total funds and strictly setting stop-loss points.

The market has risks, and the above analysis does not constitute investment advice.

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