Trend Breakthrough Key Period, Main Funds Accelerate Layout, Three Signals Lock in the Gold Window
Core Trend Judgment:
Current price breaks through key resistance zone, technical indicators show bullish acceleration characteristics. Continuous daily bullish candlestick combination breaks through the upper Bollinger Band, the 7-day moving average rises at a 45-degree angle crossing above the 30-day moving average, and trading volume has expanded for three consecutive days to the peak of the year. It is essential to focus on the effectiveness of the breakthrough of the historical resistance level at 1.3928, which is a resonance zone of the dense trading area in Q4 2024 and the Fibonacci 161.8% extension level 25.
Key Position Analysis:
Breakthrough Confirmation Level: 1.3928 (Previous High + Chip Peak)
Bull-Bear Watershed: 1.3850 (MA60 Slope Turning Point)
Pullback Warning Level: 1.3720 (38.2% Golden Retracement Level)
Strong Support Area: 1.3580-1.3620 (Upward Trend Line + Daily MA14)
Operation Strategy:
Holders may move the stop-loss up to 1.3750, and after breaking 1.3928, increase the position not exceeding 30%. For those without positions, it is recommended to enter in batches within the range of 1.3830-1.3880, with a strict stop-loss set at 1.3780. Short-term traders can capture fluctuations in the range of 1.3928-1.3850, using 15-minute KDJ overbought and oversold signals for swing trading.
Risk Warning:
• Market volatility may increase by 30% before and after the non-farm data release
• MACD red bars shortening indicates a decline in short-term momentum
• There is a dense area of trapped positions above 1.3928 for 2024
This strategy integrates the principles of volume-price-time resonance, and it is recommended to verify the effectiveness of the breakthrough with a volume distribution histogram.
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