# Bitcoin 2025 Trend Core Prediction
1. **Technical and Macro Drivers**
Recently breaking through previous highs, Q3-Q4 of 2025 may see parabolic growth, with target prices between $100,000 and $200,000, and some institutions predicting up to $250,000.
2. **Risk Factors**
Leverage liquidation may lead to a short-term crash (50%-70% correction), uncertainties remain regarding quantum computing threats and regulatory policies.
3. **Long-term Trend**
After the halving in 2025, supply tightening may occur, with ETF size potentially reaching $100 billion, pushing Bitcoin's market cap to account for 25% of gold. However, a bear market cycle may begin in 2026.
**Strategy Recommendation**: Control leverage, hold core positions until the end of 2025, and take profits in batches within the $100,000-$150,000 range.
