Bitcoin (BTC) has recently shown a **high-level fluctuation** trend, with prices oscillating in the range of **$105,000 to $111,000**, and the market is fiercely contested between bulls and bears. Here are the key analyses:
### **1. Recent Price Performance**
- On **May 22**, Bitcoin broke through **$111,000**, reaching a new annual high.
- On **May 27**, the price fell back to around **$108,000**, entering a consolidation phase.
- **Short-term support level** is at **$107,000**, and if it breaks, it may drop to **$105,000-$102,000**.
### **2. Driving Factors**
- **Institutional Capital Inflow**: The U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF saw a net inflow of over **$3.6 billion** in May, driving prices up.
- **Macroeconomic Impact**: Expectations of Fed interest rate cuts, a weaker dollar, and heightened inflation concerns enhance Bitcoin's **safe-haven properties**.
- **Policy Benefits**: Some states in the U.S. (like Arizona) are incorporating Bitcoin into their financial reserves, and El Salvador continues to increase its holdings.
### **3. Technical Analysis**
- **Short-term Correction Risk**: The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is approaching the overbought zone, and the MACD has shown a death cross signal, indicating a potential short-term adjustment.
- **Key Resistance Level**: **$111,000** (recent high), if broken, it may challenge **$120,000**.