🔥 Historical scripts replayed but the ending crashes? This bull market is too rebellious!
💥 Previous bull market fixed routines: after rising, it crashes
In 2017, Bitcoin fell at least 20% four times after reaching new highs, three times completed within a month. In 2021, it was even harsher, with three 20% level crashes (not counting the 519 disaster), each slaughter cycle did not exceed 30 days. The rules are clear: the bull market cycle is about 12 months, from breaking the previous high to reaching the peak takes 10-11 months, the low point after the first crash to the peak lasts at most 10 months.
💣 This bull market's three rebellious sins
Crash becomes a protracted battle : The 26% drop in March dragged on for half a year, and then in December it fell 28% again, taking another half a year; previously, the beatings lasted at most a month, now it’s a slow torture. Breaking up with U.S. stocks : From March to September, while U.S. stocks rose, it fell; from December to this April, when U.S. stocks fell 10%, it crashed 28% in response, completely not following the traditional market rhythm. Periodic table malfunctions : According to the old calendar, this bull market should have ended in March this year, and now it’s already June and still riding the roller coaster.
🚨 The wealth password turns into a death trap?
If calculated based on the low point of the first crash (November 2023), theoretically it could last until September 2025. But this time the dealer has clearly changed the playstyle —
Institutional funds are hard resisting (ETF net inflow exceeds $300 million daily) On-chain chips are highly centralized (the top 10 addresses control 41%) Leverage rate breaks historical highs (the entire market leverage exceeds $80 billion)
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