Friends who didn't get on the bus in time must be anxious now, feeling that big cakes are good.
But at the price of 51,000 dollars, buying now feels like it won't yield much.
It feels like the cost-performance ratio of big cakes isn't that good at this moment.
Everyone is waiting for a correction to buy at 40-45 thousand. The best is at 35 thousand.
Actually, this is a psychological feeling; even if it really drops, you are very likely not to buy.
The difference between 51 and 35 is 45%. Earning 45% less in a bull market is nothing; earning less is better than losing money.
Assuming big cakes can reach 200,000 dollars. Buying now can make 1+3 times. Buying at 35,000 can make 1+4.7 times.
Taking 1 million as the basis, that's a difference of 1.71 million. This 1.71 million is the price you pay for not getting on the bus in time.
Assuming it reaches 150,000 dollars, that's a difference of 1.34 million.
The more it rises, the greater the cost.
But here’s a problem: if it's certain that it will reach 150-200 thousand dollars, then earning 1.94-2.92 million is also certain.
This drop to 35-48 is hypothetical, meaning it's false. It is uncertain.
The only thing in here that can be taken seriously is the price expectation of this bull market; you can take it seriously.
If there is no expectation, then buying at any time is wrong. Without a bull market, what are you buying for?
Waiting four years is just for that wave of wealth during the bull market.
You can't grasp uncertain things; you may earn more, or you may miss out, and in the end, an impulsive act can turn a small profit into a big loss.
This is a cliché, but many people treat corrections as established facts. This is something that needs to be taken very seriously.
Although I missed the big cake, the good news is that the bull market has started now.
During a bull market, those who can get rich are often not the ones holding big cakes when assets are small.
Although I missed the big cake, the certain part of the money is less earned.
But this is the best time to make money. Those who make money are the ones who are bold, lucky, and hit the right points.
Having a large heart is a personality issue.
For example, I am conservative. I buy inscriptions; 300,000 is my limit. If it’s more, I don't want to buy.
I see many people exchanging big cakes for inscriptions, and they have made much more profit by exchanging NFTs than I have.
But I don't want to do that because my base is not small anymore; even making 3 times is enough. If you eat up everything in the market and take all the benefits, you might end up with nothing. Speaking a bit philosophically, the momentum shouldn't be pushed to the limit; otherwise, the opportunity will inevitably be gone soon.
I think good luck can actually be captured to some extent; luck itself is a matter of probability.
The market is good now; if you buy some new coins, public chain coins, the top 20, and those that ride on hot concepts, you can basically earn; this is luck brought by the situation.
Good luck means making 30 times. Without luck, that means making 5 times.
You need to find extreme good luck. The premise is to buy undervalued coins that have unified chips and are fully unlocked. Only when it's low enough can you make significant profits.
The meaning of unified chips is that for people entering at different time periods, if you haven't made money, I haven't either. If someone has already made dozens of times, if you buy, then your good fortune has at least been halved by them, reducing your chances of getting rich. When everyone is about the same, with the blessing of bull market luck, it won't drop far. If a coin continues to drop during a bull market, there must be a problem. It's time to reflect. When I see unified chips, I look at moving averages sticking together; coins that surge have their moving averages dispersed. The prices of chips from those who bought 5 days ago and those who bought 60 days ago are different. Those who bought 60 days ago have the advantage. If you buy, your chances of making money are diminished. For coins that have never risen, like Dogecoin, since everyone's chips are about the same, it’s hard for others to take advantage of you when you buy.
The issue of full unlocking is very important; many Ethereum-based coins are unlocked over several years. When the bull market comes, institutions can't sell coins, and they find it hard to have the motivation to push prices up because the benefits are obviously insufficient. The advantage of old coins is high liquidity, and liquidity is a very good reference factor. For example, I favor GMX a bit because GMX has a low market value and is fully circulated. Then looking at inscriptions, these are basically fully circulating; institutions and large players holding stock can profit from pushing prices up, and when the bull market comes, they will have the motivation to push up.
As for low valuations, there’s no need to say much; everyone definitely knows about that. I think anything between a few million to 200 million dollars counts as undervalued.
In the inscription sector, some see a trillion. The leading Sats+Ordi accounts for 50 billion, which is roughly a 20 times increase.
The other inscriptions account for 50 billion; calculate how much that can yield, which is at least 30-50 times.
In fact, when the bull market ends, you'll find that the coins that surged dozens of times are ones you've definitely heard of.
It's just that you don't dare to buy right now; your courage isn't enough. Just like you didn't dare to buy big cakes when they were 20-30 thousand.
So the bull market is here, and what needs to be done now is to be a bit bolder.
But no matter how bold you are, you should at least buy 30% of big cakes, which is for your capital preservation.
If you've earned around 30 times, you need to be cautious. At this point, you should definitely start selling.
30 times is the limit of a person's luck; you need to pay special attention to this.
I've finished writing, keep it up! I am Xiao Qi, a sincere old farmer wishing you great wealth in the crypto circle.
Continue to pay attention to BTC, ETH, BNB.
Bulls have their strategies, bears have their ways to play.
Xiao Qi won't lead fans to blow up their accounts, nor will they blindly open positions.
It's all about seeking steady victories, working steadily, and those who want to eat meat should follow Xiao Qi's lead!
#比特币2025大会
