#Bitcoin2025 🚀 Current Situation:
After the *halving* in April 2024, Bitcoin has experienced a historic rally, surpassing its previous high of **$69,000** and establishing new records in the $110,000-$115,000 range. However, the market shows signs of **overheating**: meme *altcoins* have risen 500-1000% in weeks, the media talk about "easy money," and daily volume on exchanges reaches record levels (over $200 billion!).
Possible Scenarios:
1. **The rise continues:** If Bitcoin manages to consolidate above **$120,000**, some models predict a *"supercycle"* towards **$150,000-$180,000** before a significant adjustment.
2. **Imminent correction:** According to historical patterns, we are in the timeframe where strong declines occur (**6-12 months post-halving**). A pullback of 30-50% (to **$60,000-$80,000**) would not be surprising if the market panics due to profit-taking.
**Warning Signs (Be Careful!):**
- 📉 **RSI in overbought zone:** The weekly technical indicator RSI for Bitcoin is at **92**, a level not seen since December 2021.
- 🤑 **Extreme euphoria:** Surveys on social media show that over 80% of investors believe that "BTC will reach $1 million in 5 years."
- 💸 **Inflated liquidity:** The futures market has record *open interest* ($45B), increasing the risk of cascading liquidations.
**When to Expect a Change?**
If the cycle mimics 2017 or 2021, **September-October 2025** could mark a *temporary top*, followed by a prolonged correction in 2026. However, factors like institutional adoption (ETF funds accumulate 8% of the total supply) or favorable regulations could alter this scenario.
**Practical Conclusion:**
⚠️ **2025 is the year of caution**. While some experts bet that the rally continues until Q1 2026, technical and psychological signals suggest that **the risk of a severe correction increases each day**. Strategies like *staggered take profit* or *hedging with stablecoins* are key in this phase.
Note: This is not financial advice. Markets are unpredictable: the only constant pattern is volatility.* 💥
🔍 **Keep monitoring:** Global inflation, FED policies, and the SOPR ratio (indicator of holders' gains/losses). The game continues! #Crypto2025 🚨
