🔥 Current market highlights overview

  1. $BTC Historical consolidation after hitting a new high
    Bitcoin broke through on May 27, 2025$110,000After breaking this threshold, it currently maintains between$109,700 - $110,400with narrow fluctuations, a weekly increase of 2%, and a monthly increase of 14.6%. Its market capitalization remains steady at$2.16 trillion, holding a dominant position of 66% in the crypto market.

  2. Institutional influx

    • ETF funds surge: Fidelity and Ark Funds' Bitcoin ETF saw an inflow of $343 million in a single day, setting a new high for May.

    • National strategic reserves: The U.S. announced the establishment of a Bitcoin strategic reserve, and the Trump Media Group invested $2.5 billion to increase BTC holdings, triggering FOMO in the market.

  3. Regulatory and policy benefits
    Hong Kong approves Bitcoin spot ETF listing, the EU advances MiCA regulatory details, and the U.S. GENIUS Act is implemented, creating a favorable policy environment for institutional entry.

📊 Technical analysis: The critical point of the bull-bear battle

  1. Key indicator signals

    • Moving average system: The 5-day moving average crosses above the 20-day moving average (golden cross), indicating strong short-term buying momentum.

    • MACD golden cross: The fast line breaks above the slow line, suggesting the continuation of an upward trend.

    • RSI overbought warning: The 14-day RSI approaches 70, increasing short-term pullback pressure, caution is needed for a rapid decline.

  2. Support and resistance levels

    • Bullish defense line: $94,545 (strong support), $108,000 (psychological barrier).

    • Bearish stronghold: $110,400 (short-term resistance), $120,000 (breaking this could trigger a violent surge).

  3. On-chain data insights

    • Long-term holders increasing positions: Glassnode data shows a continuous decline in exchange BTC reserves, indicating a clear trend of long-term accumulation.

    • Fear and greed index: 73 (greed zone), market sentiment leans optimistic but needs to guard against overheating.

🌍 Macroeconomic variables: The overlooked 'black swan'

  1. Federal Reserve policy disturbances
    U.S. April CPI rose 4.9% year-on-year, exceeding expectations, heightening concerns over interest rate hikes, which could suppress risk assets if monetary policy tightens.

  2. Geopolitical and stock market interlinking

    • U.S. stocks weak: The S&P 500 has been declining consecutively, with Bitcoin's correlation to U.S. stocks increasing. If the stock market further corrects, it may drag the crypto market down.

    • Asian market volatility: Trump delays tariff policy on Europe, and the MSCI Asia-Pacific Index declines, with safe-haven funds potentially shifting to BTC.

  3. Technical upgrade narrative
    Lightning network nodes surpass 17,000, locking nearly 5,000 BTC, with Layer 2 expansion supporting the realization of 'digital gold' payment scenarios.

  1. Bullish logic

    • Standard Chartered Bank predicts: BTC target of $200,000 by the end of 2025, aiming for $500,000 by 2028.

    • Scarcity-driven: The supply cap of 21 million coins approaches, with the halving cycle effect gradually manifesting.

  2. Risk warning

    • Overbought correction: RSI at a high level + profit-taking pressure, if it drops below $108,000 or tests the $94,000 support.

    • Regulatory uncertainty: Global policy games still have variables, SEC reviews of stablecoin projects may trigger volatility.

💡 Trading strategy: Capture the trend, strictly control risks

  1. Aggressive: Chase long positions after breaking $110,400, target $120,000, stop loss at $107,000.

  2. Conservative: Accumulate in batches on a pullback to $105,000, stop loss below $103,000.

  3. Hedging strategy: Short ETH/USD or UNI/USD, betting on altcoins' correction opportunities.

⚠️ Remember: Position management > Blind FOMO! Set stop losses and take profits to avoid leveraged liquidation.

🌟 Why must we pay attention this week?

  • Bitcoin 2025 Conference: Opening on May 27 in Las Vegas, featuring speeches from Saylor, Justin Sun, and other big names, which may release significant positive news.

  • Federal Reserve PCE data: To be released on May 31, if inflation cools, it could trigger a new round of increases.

Take action now: Click the Binance trading link to catch the last train of the bull market!

#BTC走势分析 Bitcoin cryptocurrency trading strategy bull market warning 📈
Interactive topic: Do you think BTC will break $120,000 this week? Place your bets in the comments! 👇