Market insights: Understanding the whale cycle - 2025 edition
Let’s apply some fundamental logic instead of over-analyzing. When Bitcoin (BTC) undergoes a halving, supply decreases - naturally suggesting price increases. Whether BTC reaches $120,000 or $250,000 is not the fundamental issue. The real question is: what will the whales and the stock market do in response to this increase?
They will sell.
Will the whales buy back the Bitcoin they sold? No.
Here’s what they will likely do instead:
1. Sell the news: First, they will push negative narratives - war tensions, food crises, stock market crashes - to create fear and panic.
2. Beginning of Bitcoin unloading: As fear increases, Bitcoin is sold, shaking out weak hands.
3. False recovery of alternative currencies: At the same time, we may see an explosion of alternative currencies, giving traders false hope.
4. Return of Bitcoin dominance: Bitcoin dominance rises sharply again, and when Bitcoin drops by 2%, alternative currencies drop by 5% or more.
5. Smart entry into alternative currencies: As alternative currency prices are crushed, whales begin to invest their Bitcoin profits into undervalued alternative currencies, quietly starting the real altcoin season.
This cycle repeats every time.
In summary:
Buy Bitcoin when whales are accumulating Bitcoin.
Buy alternative currencies when whales convert profits into alternative currencies.
Don't fall victim to fear-based market manipulation.
I have been overwhelmed this week with negative news - which often precedes strong market reversals. The more fear they create, the more likely the market is to rise afterward.
Personal trading strategy:
Trade only with 30% of your capital.
Always keep cash ready to buy dips and pounce on unexpected opportunities.
Focus on reducing losses, not chasing quick profits.
You can buy here $BTC
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