1. Comparison of HUMA and WCT FDV
2. HUMA's early trend is similar to WCT
HUMA stabilized in the accumulation area of $0.05-$0.06 after a 41.4% retracement ($0.118 to $0.061), similar to WCT's pullback. Bitcoin at $111,000 and 'extreme greed' sentiment are favorable for both.
--- HUMA's support level of $0.061 is similar to WCT's second wave increase after stabilization (+35.2%).
3. HUMA airdrop has high value
HUMA airdrop ($50 million) requires 5-6 months of staking to filter high loyalty holders, low selling pressure, better than 'claim upon interaction' projects. On-chain wallets increased by 490% (from 5,600 to 33,000), similar to WCT's 15 million user ecosystem. The PayFi narrative is endorsed by Circle and others.
--- HUMA airdrop reduces selling pressure, the support level of $0.061 (1.22x increase from TGE) reflects holder confidence, similar to WCT.
4. HUMA's support level and potential for rise
HUMA's $0.061 (close to the $0.05-$0.06 accumulation area) shows strong support, and the trading volume of $552 million far exceeds WCT, with high community activity. A breakthrough at $0.07 could challenge $0.09-$0.12 (referencing WCT +28%). X posts predict a short-term target of $0.08-$0.10.
--- High trading volume and support level are building strength for HUMA's second wave rise.
5. Market Makers and Trading
GSR is suspected to be a market maker for WCT (holding 11 million WCT), HUMA may also be arranged by Binance for first-tier market makers like GSR, with strong market support. HUMA's FDV (610M USD) is lower than WCT's (770M USD), locking mechanism (team tokens 1-year cliff, 2-3 years unlocking) reduces selling pressure.
6. Factors Driving the Rise
Ecosystem: HUMA trading volume exceeds $4 billion, wallets up 490%, if implemented in traditional finance, valuation can be improved, similar to WCT's on-chain UX.
Market: Bitcoin's high position and 'extreme greed' sentiment are favorable for HUMA, similar to WCT's 35.2% weekly increase.
Technical analysis: After breaking through $0.07, target $0.09-$0.12.
7. Summary and Recommendations
The support level of HUMA at $0.061, trading volume of $552 million, 5-6 months staking airdrop (high value), and FDV (610M USD) indicate sufficient pressure digestion, similar to WCT rising from $0.6 to $0.77 (+28%). HUMA is expected to break through $0.07, targeting $0.09-$0.12.
Recommendations:
Short-term: Holding near $0.06, break through $0.07 to chase the rise, target $0.09-$0.12.
Long-term: If PayFi is implemented, the valuation is promising, pay attention to RWA progress.
Risk: FDV (610M USD) may cause volatility, beware of dropping below.
