It's not panic, nor FUD, but rather my pre-written 'safe exit script'.
🚨 1️⃣ It's not about rushing in early, but rather about not being able to get out.
Review each bull market:
2017: Altcoins took off in June, peaked in December → followed by a major crash
2021: BTC had two peaks in April and November → followed by a bear market for the entire year.
📉 The peak often occurs when you think 'the market has just started'.
When the real crash comes, you will only have a few days to react.
⏳ 2️⃣ Why August 2025?
I expect the altcoin peak to be between June and July:
Memecoin starts at 30x
L2 sector comprehensively re-evaluated
NFT revival narrative resurfaces
✅ Once these have appeared, the market will enter a stage of extreme greed + irrational sprinting.
And August is my chosen 'calm window' to gradually exit.
📉 3️⃣ Every crash after a bull market is worse than you think.
95% of altcoins plummeted by 90–99%
Project teams run away, DEXs clear liquidity, exchanges shut down
Frequent hacking incidents, stablecoins de-pegging, wallets being phished
🔥 Those who did not plan in advance can only watch their accounts go to zero.
🧪 4️⃣ My three indicators for judging the peak:
MVRV: Overvaluation indicator
NUPL: Overall market floating profit rate
SOPR: On-chain profit-taking pressure monitoring
📊 These indicators successfully gave early warnings in both 2017 and 2021, without requiring 'precise peak escaping', but they are enough to let you exit ahead of others.
💰 5️⃣ Bull market profit = income, not an illusion
Paper profits ≠ realized profits
Many people go from making a million to losing everything overnight, all in one crash.
✅ So I treat bull market profits as income, not a fantasy lottery.
📦 6️⃣ My exit plan (three steps):
1️⃣ Start selling in batches when sentiment is at its most euphoric
2️⃣ Switch funds to: stablecoins + real assets
3️⃣ Don't be greedy for the last pump, don't look back at the market.
This is not fear, it's discipline.
🔐 7️⃣ Safety line = the ultimate guarantee of bull market profits
Cold wallet for main storage (like Ledger / Keystone)
Hot wallet limited to airdrops + experimental projects
Beware of fake links / fake contracts / fake NFT airdrops
Regularly revoke permissions, monitor unusual trading behavior
📌 The most dangerous moment in a bull market is not the downturn, but when you are most relaxed.
🧾 8️⃣ Asset allocation suggestions for the exit phase:
Do not go all in on altcoins in the late bull market! I suggest:
🟢 30%: Stablecoins (USDC/USDT)
🟡 30%: Real assets (gold, bonds)
🔵 20%: Low-risk financial management (structured strategies)
🔴 20%: Growth-oriented crypto assets (high-quality new narratives)
📌 The goal is to preserve the results, not to gamble for the final blow.
✅ Conclusion: Earning several times is difficult, holding on to earn is even harder.
You don't need to sell at the highest point.
You just need to stay awake when others are crazy and exit before the crash.
📌 A bull market is not a test of who runs fastest, but rather who can exit smoothly.
In August 2025, I will no longer gamble on 'it can still rise', I will secure the results and quietly leave the stage.
Writing the script in advance allows you to exit the cycle game unscathed.
