$BTC Basic Factors (Daily Impact)

• News and Catalysts: Positive regulatory news (such as support for U.S. policies on cryptocurrencies) or strong inflows into ETFs may drive the price up in the daily frame. Conversely, any negative news (such as regulatory tightening or selling by 'whales') could lead to a correction.

• Macroeconomics: Interest rate decisions or daily economic data may impact volatility, especially if related to inflation expectations or Federal Reserve policies.

Assessment: Bullish or Bearish?

• Current Daily Trend: Conditional Bullish. Bitcoin is in a critical area near the main resistance (108,000-112,000 USD). The upward momentum is supported by moving averages and the RSI indicator, but the lack of strong trading volume and the presence of a consolidation pattern (triangle/wedge) makes the breakout uncertain for now.

• Bullish Scenario: If the price closes above 112,000 USD on the daily candle with increased volume, the daily trend will become strongly bullish, with targets at 120,000-130,000 USD.

• Bearish Scenario: If the price is rejected at the resistance (108,000-112,000 USD) with a strong bearish candle appearing (such as a bearish engulfing candle), the daily trend may turn bearish, with a potential pullback to 101,000 or 97,000 USD.