đ Google: Quantum Threat to $BTC May Be 20x Closer Than Expected
Googleâs Quantum AI researchers have issued a red alert: breaking RSA encryptionâlong considered safe for at least another decadeâmight now require 20x fewer quantum resources than previous estimates. The breakthrough came via optimization of Shorâs algorithm using a technique called lattice surgery, significantly reducing the number of logical qubits and operations needed to crack encryption keys.
Why this matters: RSA and elliptic curve cryptography (ECC)âused in Bitcoinâshare the same vulnerability class. Once a Bitcoin public key is exposed on-chain (as happens every time coins are spent from legacy wallets), it becomes a viable target for quantum decryption. Researchers warn that stable 10,000-qubit machines could extract private keys and reassign funds in seconds.
Previously, this risk was projected to emerge post-2040. Googleâs new model brings that window forwardâpossibly before 2030. Over 2.5 million BTC currently sit on addresses with exposed public keys, representing a potential multi-billion dollar attack surface for future quantum adversaries.
Unlike other chains, Bitcoin has not yet deployed formal post-quantum defenses. While discussions around lattice-based or hash-based signatures are ongoing, transitioning the protocol would require years of consensus-building, coordination, and backward compatibility across all nodes and wallets.
This isnât speculative fictionâitâs an engineering countdown. The longer the delay in adopting quantum-resistant infrastructure, the narrower the window for preemptive defense becomes. Institutions, custodians, and cold storage providers may already need to start migrating funds to shielded wallets using forward-secure cryptography.
Quantum doesnât need to break crypto overnightâjust once, on one key, to spark systemic panic.
#AMAGE community, is the Bitcoin ecosystem preparing for the quantum shiftâor gambling on an outdated threat horizon?
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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