EUR/USD slips after testing monthly highs, with key macro and political drivers in play:

➤ USD Bounces Back

  • DXY rebounds to near 99.00, clawing back earlier losses

  • EUR/USD drops from 1.1425 ➝ 1.1380

➤ US Dollar Faces Credibility Doubts

  • Trump’s policy flip-flops shake investor confidence

  • Weekend tariff U-turn delays 50% EU tariffs to July 9

➤ Euro Supported by Strong German Data

  • German Q1 GDP revised up to +0.4%

  • Eases fears of recession; boosts EUR sentiment


➤ ECB Rate Cut Hopes Grow

  • ECB’s Stournaras hints at June rate cut

  • Traders eye inflation data this week (PCE + EU HICP)

➤ Technical Outlook: Bullish Bias Intact

  • Holding above 20-day EMA (1.1270)

  • RSI near 60 — Breakout watch

  • Resistance: 1.1475

  • Support: 1.1215

➤ Market Mood:

  • Cautiously bullish EUR/USD near-term

  • Eyes on upcoming macro data and US trade rhetoric

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