Should We Be Getting Ready for a Rate Cut?
Fed Outlook – Here’s What to Watch
With the June 18 FOMC meeting approaching, it looks like the Fed is holding steady — markets are currently pricing in a 71% chance that there’ll be no rate change.
Here’s the current picture:
Fed officials like John Williams and Alberto Musalem are preaching caution. Inflation’s still sticky, and bigger economic uncertainties (think trade issues and government spending) are keeping them from acting too quickly.
Earlier this year, expectations pointed to three rate cuts in 2025. That’s now been pulled back to two, with the first one possibly landing in September.
The Fed is waiting for more clarity on inflation trends, labor market shifts, and the global macro picture before making any moves.
Bottom Line:
No cuts yet — but the tone is softening. September’s shaping up to be a possible pivot point. Until then, stay tuned. Macro conditions are still driving the story, especially for crypto.$BTC