Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak tonight at 2:40 p.m. EDT (12:10 a.m. IST) at the Baccalaureate Ceremony. While the event is ceremonial, market participants will closely monitor his remarks for any insights into the Fed's policy direction.

🧭 What to Expect from Powell’s Speech

Recent statements from Powell have highlighted concerns about persistent inflation, particularly due to tariffs, and the potential for more erratic inflation patterns in the future. He has emphasized a "wait and see" approach, indicating that the Fed is not in a hurry to adjust interest rates and will base decisions on incoming economic data .

💧 Market Liquidity and Volatility Outlook

The Fed's cautious stance has led to increased market volatility, with equities and cryptocurrencies experiencing significant fluctuations. Bitcoin, for instance, has seen shifts in liquidity, with traders positioning for potential volatility based on Powell's remarks .

In the broader market, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) closed at $579.11, down 0.69%, and the Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (QQQ) ended at $509.24, a decrease of 0.95%. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) saw a slight increase, closing at $84.55 .

⚠️ Key Market Watchouts

Tariff-Induced Inflation: Powell has warned that tariffs could lead to persistent inflation, which may influence the Fed's policy decisions .

Liquidity Concerns: Thinning liquidity in markets, especially in cryptocurrencies, suggests potential for increased volatility.

Global Market Impact: Developments in U.S. monetary policy can have ripple effects on global markets, including emerging economies like India.

📺 Watch Powell’s Speech Live

Investors should remain vigilant, as Powell's remarks could provide critical insights into the Fed's future policy moves, impacting various asset classes.

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