Midday View

1. BTC

Trend Scenario Simulation**

Scenario 1: Continued Rebound

Trigger Conditions: Price stabilizes above $108,200 and

Target Path:

First Target: $109,000 - $109,500

Breakthrough Target: $110,000 - $111,000

Scenario 2: Technical Correction

Trigger Conditions: Price drops below $108,000

Support Verification*:

Strong Support 1: $107,200 - $107,500

Strong Support 2: $106,500 - $106,800

Scenario 3: Extreme Volatility

Black Swan Event: The US SEC unexpectedly regulates DeFi protocols, Mt. Gox compensation process unexpectedly starts.

Impact Range: Price may flash crash to $105,000 or jump to $112,000.

Operational Strategy

1. Bullish Strategy

Current Price Buy: $108,100 - $108,300 with light positions, stop loss at $107,500, target $109,500 - $110,000.

Add Position on Pullback: If it retraces to $107,500, add long positions, stop loss at $106,800, target as above.

2. Bearish Strategy

Resistance Level Short: Open short positions in the range of $109,000 - $109,200, stop loss at $110,000, target $108,000 - $108,500. #加密市场回调