II, eth
Morning Market Scenario
Scenario 1: Weak Rebound
- Trigger Conditions: Price stabilizes at $2520 or US stock market sentiment improves in early trading.
Target Path:
First Resistance: $2550-$2560, breaking through tests $2580
Scenario 2: Continued Bottoming
Trigger Conditions: Price drops below $2500, may retest the $2460-$2480 range.
Support Validation:
Key Support 1: $2460
Strong Support 2: Breaking below $2380 opens up a decline towards $2300.
Scenario 3: Extreme Volatility
- Black Swan Event: Sudden regulatory announcement from the SEC (such as changes in ETH staking policy), exchange failures leading to a liquidity crisis, price may flash drop below $2200.
Operational Strategy
1. Long Strategy
Left Side Speculation: If stabilizing near $2500, take a light position to go long, stop loss at $2480, target $2550-$2580.
Right Side Confirmation: Break through $2550, chase long to $2580-$2600, stop loss at $2520.
2. Short Strategy*
Rebound Suppression: Open short in the $2530-$2550 range, stop loss at $2580, target $2480-$2460.
