Predicting which meme coin will first reach $1 by 2030 is highly speculative, but here's a comparative breakdown based on current supply and market dynamics (as of 2024–2025):
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1. $PEPE
Current Supply: ~420 trillion
To reach $1: Market cap must be ~$420 trillion
Chance: Virtually impossible under realistic economic conditions
Verdict: Will not reach $1
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2. $SHIB (Shiba Inu)
Current Supply: ~589 trillion (declining slowly via burns)
To reach $1: Market cap needs to be ~$589 trillion
Burn Mechanism: Active but slow
Chance: Very low unless supply drops dramatically
Verdict: Unlikely to reach $1 by 2030
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3. $BONK
Current Supply: ~94 trillion
To reach $1: Market cap must be ~$94 trillion
Adoption: Rising in Solana ecosystem
Chance: Still extremely low
Verdict: Also unlikely to reach $1
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4. #LUNC (Luna Classic)
Current Supply: ~5.8 trillion
To reach $1: Market cap = ~$5.8 trillion
Reform Plans: Active community, slow burn
Chance: More realistic than others, but still very ambitious
Verdict: Best odds among the list — but still <1% chance
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Summary Table
Token Needed Market Cap for $1 Likelihood by 2030 Notes
$PEPE ~$420 Trillion 0% Too high supply
$SHIB ~$589 Trillion <0.1% Needs massive burns
$BONK ~$94 Trillion <0.1% Solana-based growth
#LUNC ~$5.8 Trillion ~1% Possible with major burn
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Winner (Most Likely to Reach $1 First by 2030):
#LUNC — but only if massive supply burns continue and adoption improves significantly.#TrumpTariffs #BinancelaunchpoolHuma