Predicting which meme coin will first reach $1 by 2030 is highly speculative, but here's a comparative breakdown based on current supply and market dynamics (as of 2024–2025):

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1. $PEPE

Current Supply: ~420 trillion

To reach $1: Market cap must be ~$420 trillion

Chance: Virtually impossible under realistic economic conditions

Verdict: Will not reach $1

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2. $SHIB (Shiba Inu)

Current Supply: ~589 trillion (declining slowly via burns)

To reach $1: Market cap needs to be ~$589 trillion

Burn Mechanism: Active but slow

Chance: Very low unless supply drops dramatically

Verdict: Unlikely to reach $1 by 2030

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3. $BONK

Current Supply: ~94 trillion

To reach $1: Market cap must be ~$94 trillion

Adoption: Rising in Solana ecosystem

Chance: Still extremely low

Verdict: Also unlikely to reach $1

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4. #LUNC (Luna Classic)

Current Supply: ~5.8 trillion

To reach $1: Market cap = ~$5.8 trillion

Reform Plans: Active community, slow burn

Chance: More realistic than others, but still very ambitious

Verdict: Best odds among the list — but still <1% chance

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Summary Table

Token Needed Market Cap for $1 Likelihood by 2030 Notes

$PEPE ~$420 Trillion 0% Too high supply

$SHIB ~$589 Trillion <0.1% Needs massive burns

$BONK ~$94 Trillion <0.1% Solana-based growth

#LUNC ~$5.8 Trillion ~1% Possible with major burn

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Winner (Most Likely to Reach $1 First by 2030):

#LUNC — but only if massive supply burns continue and adoption improves significantly.#TrumpTariffs #BinancelaunchpoolHuma