Midday Outlook
II, ETH
Afternoon Movement
Scenario 1: Strong Breakout
Conditions: Rapidly break above the 2734 high after the market opens, with sustained increasing volume.
Target: Attack the 2750-2760 area
Logic: Morning bullish momentum is not exhausted; if resistance is broken, it may trigger short covering.
Scenario 2: High-Level Volatility
Conditions: Price fluctuates in the 2715-2735 range, with moderate volume.
Signal: Pay attention to the 2720 support (morning rebound continuation level) and 2734 resistance.
Scenario 3: Pullback Correction
Conditions: Break below 2715 with increased volume, may retest the 2700 level.
Risk Point**: If it breaks below 2700, be cautious of bullish liquidation (but the morning low support at 2643 is relatively far).
Operational Suggestions
1. Bullish Strategy:
After breaking 2734, lightly chase long positions, stop-loss at 2720, target 2750.
- If it stabilizes upon retesting 2715-2720, consider trying long, stop-loss at 2705.
2. Bearish Strategy:
- Only recommend shorting when breaking below 2715 with increased volume, target 2700, strict stop-loss at 2730.
Conclusion: High probability of continuing high-level volatility (2715-2740), a breakout requires volume support; if volume decreases, a pullback is likely. It is advised to respond with a swing trading mindset and implement strict stop-loss.