🟢 Bitcoin Strong Increase?
Bitcoin (BTC) has just marked a milestone: holding above 100,000 USDT, increasing +5.77% in 24h (as of 21/05/2025, 22:53 GMT+7). After the breakout on 09/05, this increase is driven by positive macro news, activities from institutional whales, and widespread FOMO sentiment. Will this upward trend be sustainable – or just a 'flash effect'?
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📊 Main Momentum: News & Institutional Capital Flows
* Institutions landing: JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and many spot ETF funds are increasing their BTC exposure. Rumors of Brazil/South Korea considering recognizing Bitcoin as legal assets further 'fuels the fire'.
* Supportive monetary policy: Fed maintains low interest rates, global inflation has not cooled down → BTC returns to the role of 'digital gold'.
* Record high trading volume: 1.76 million BTC exchanged (≈190 million USDT), with 64.58% of buyers dominating the market.
* Decreased supply: April 2024 halving has cut block rewards to 3.125 BTC – while demand increases steadily, creating a scenario of low supply – high demand.
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📈 Sustainable Growth or Short-term Bubble?
Short-term:
✔️ The upward momentum is still strong.
⚠️ There may be slight adjustments due to profit-taking pressure around the 100,000 mark.
Long-term:
✔️ Institutional adoption is expanding.
✔️ Decreased supply, increased institutional demand.
✔️ BTC increased 49.5% in 30 days, 138% in 1 year – establishing a clear long-term uptrend.
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🧠 Long-term Trading Strategy
* Ideal accumulation zone:
▪️ $90,000 – $95,000 (technical and psychological support zone).
▪️ Waiting for adjustments to avoid 'chasing the peak', especially when FOMO cools down.
* Profit-taking target:
▪️ Short-term: $105,000
▪️ Mid-term: $110,000
▪️ Long-term: $120,000 (if there is a breakthrough macro news)
* Recommended stop loss:
▪️ $85,000 – below the important support zone.
* Expected R:R ratio: ~1:1.5 with long-term strategy – attractive for both holders and swing traders.
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🔎 What to Watch?
* News related to countries adopting BTC.
* Spot ETF capital flows and activities from institutional whales.
* Policies from the Fed, ECB, and geopolitical volatility.
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✅ Conclusion
Bitcoin is not only 'pumping', but also showing sustainability based on macro factors – supply and demand – and strong institutional participation. The current increase may have short-term corrections, but still maintains long-term growth prospects if large capital continues to flow in.
*Not investment advice – always DYOR.*
