The Federal Reserve's 'Triple Bomb': The Interest Rate Drama Has Begun, How Can Retail Investors Protect Themselves?
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Policy Changes as Sudden as Gas Fees on the Blockchain
The Federal Reserve is no longer strictly following the data; supply chain disruptions and soaring tariffs have rendered traditional economic models ineffective. Powell's team is making decisions 'based on feeling,' and the market is crashing like a DeFi protocol after a hack, leaving retail investors confused amidst the volatility.
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The Inflation Narrative Collapses, The Crypto Market is in Danger
Low unemployment rates but inflation remains unchecked? Global supply chain issues and geopolitical chaos are the real drivers, not rising wages. The Federal Reserve's past reliance on printing money to save the market has exhausted its ammunition, and the 'safe-haven' aura of crypto assets is fading. Some on X have bluntly stated that predicting inflation has become increasingly difficult, and traditional economic formulas are now obsolete. This means mainstream coins like BTC and ETH may face greater selling pressure, while meme coins are more like playing with fire.
3️⃣
Interest Rate Hikes are Like On-Chain Confirmations, Rate Cuts are Far Away
The hawkish forces within the Federal Reserve are taking control; new FOMC members lean towards tightening, and expectations for rate hikes overshadow those for cuts before the end of the year. A post on X mentions that a new monetary policy framework may be announced in August-September, and if inflation surges, rate hikes will be merciless. Binance futures traders and those using leverage need to be especially cautious, as the market could face liquidation at any moment.
Retail Investor Self-Protection Guide:
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Embrace Volatility, Stay Away from High Leverage
With market fluctuations soaring and plummeting, volatility is the main theme of 2025. Binance futures data shows that high-leverage players have been frequently liquidated under recent rate hike expectations. Lower leverage, avoid FOMO chasing highs, and protecting your principal is the top priority.
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Cash and Stablecoins are Safe-Haven Cards
Cash like USDC/USDT is as stable as on-chain pegged assets. Short-term bonds (or low-risk DeFi protocols like Aave's stablecoin staking) can serve as a safe haven. Some investors on X have already turned to USDC staking to evade market risks. Never go all-in on crypto assets; maintain liquidity to prepare for black swan events.
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Beware of 'False Good News,' Q3 is the Main Battlefield
Don’t be misled by short-term rebounds or 'good data'; the real impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes will manifest in Q3. Supply chain issues may become 'long-term players', and inflationary pressures will continue to push up interest rates. For retail players, prioritize protocols with real use cases (like $SIREN's AI + Meme narrative) and avoid purely speculative projects
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