One of the pitfalls that many trading beginners easily fall into is the need to find a reason for every price increase or decrease.
In reality, price fluctuations often do not require a reason. Even if you manage to dig up a bunch of seemingly "related" factors, the results in the long run may still be positively correlated, negatively correlated, or completely unrelated.
Furthermore, even if you find the reason for price fluctuations, it does not mean you can profit from it.
The market is not about writing papers; it relies on structure, rhythm, and execution, rather than explanatory ability.