Recently, on May 13, I posted a brief analysis, which roughly believes that, from my perspective, it 'seems' to be on a downward trend, and I think the overall trend this year is down.
This has attracted a lot of attention and comments, with most of the comments scolding me, while those who like it generally do not comment. This has led to some reflection on my part:
1. What everyone sees and what I write may not be the same thing.
2. Everyone is actually competing with themselves.
Rise and fall itself is a relative concept; comments on rise and fall without time are meaningless, and only with the addition of time can it become concrete.
1. BTC can rise today, but it can also decline this year; these two things can coexist.
2. This year's decline does not mean that it is falling every day, every hour, or every minute.
3. Even if the judgment is wrong, it doesn't mean you can't make money.
Actually, saying all of the above doesn't mean much. Because many people may still not understand what I'm saying and still want to scold me, regardless of what I said.
He may have lost money.
He may have lost in love.
He may have had an argument.
In short, he wants to find someone to scold.
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The above is all nonsense; the following is what I want to say today:
Rise and fall are generally the results of analysis, but they can also be the reasons for analysis.
From God's perspective, rise and fall are already predetermined; they will happen regardless of whether you scold or not.
If rise and fall are the reasons, we are not God; we can only guess, so there is a 50% chance for each to become a reason.
So, there is no strict right or wrong in choosing to rise or fall; I choose 'fall' and then give this 'fall' a time. From the highest point of 109588 down, it has lasted about 120 days, initially dividing it into 1 rise and 1 fall, with half the time being 60 days.
Therefore, I believe there will be at least 60 more days of decline in the future, and it can start from any day, so I think it can start from today.
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The above is still nonsense; it has already started to decline, and for the next 60 days, I will try to give a 'reason' for this every day and find what seems to be a reasonable 'conclusion'.