1. (BTC):
Currently, Bitcoin is in a consolidation rebound phase, short-term pullback in the $105,200-$105,500 range, this is the 4-hour EMA60 moving average support + confirmation area after breaking previous highs, belonging to the 'golden buy point' area. If it stabilizes, it is expected to launch an attack towards $106,200-$107,000 (previous high resistance area + market psychological integer level).
Operational strategy
Conservative (seeking stability first)
- Entry timing: when the price falls to $105,200-$105,500, build positions in 2-3 batches (for example, buy 30% first, add another 30% after falling $500).
- Stop-loss protection: below $105,000 (support fails, prevent false rebounds), decisively stop loss and exit.
- Target profit:
- First target: $106,200 (short-term resistance, take some profits first);
- Second target: $107,000 (integer level + previous high, determine whether to sell all based on trading volume).
Aggressive (catching quick rebounds)
- Entry timing: when the price is around $105,500, a 'bullish candlestick stabilization signal' appears (for example, a bullish candle recovers the previous bearish candle), take a light position (no more than 20% of total funds).
- Stop-loss protection: below $105,200 (short-term support broken, proves chasing the rise is wrong), stop loss immediately.
- Target profit: directly look towards $106,200, take all profits after reaching, do not be greedy.
Key logic
- Support effectiveness: $105,000-$105,500 is the 'pullback confirmation area' after last week's breakout, large funds are densely ordered in this area, strong resistance to decline.
- Volume coordination: rebound needs to observe if 1-hour trading volume can continuously exceed $15 billion, if volume meets the standard, the probability of a breakout is higher.
2. (ETH):
Ethereum has recently been fluctuating driven by Bitcoin, currently pulling back in the $2,410-$2,430 range, this is the 4-hour Bollinger Bands middle track + Cancun upgrade previous low support area, belonging to the 'cost-effective buy point'. If it stabilizes, it is expected to rebound to $2,470-$2,500 (short-term resistance + psychological level).
Conservative (seeking stability first)
- Entry timing: when the price falls to $2,410-$2,430, build positions in batches (for example, buy a batch at $2,430, then buy another batch at $2,410).
- Stop-loss protection: below $2,400 (strong support broken, prevent accelerated decline), decisively stop loss.
- Target profit:
- First target: $2,470 (short-term moving average resistance, sell half first);
- Second target: $2,500 (integer level + chain game sector linked resistance, all take profit).
Aggressive (catching linked upward movement)
- Entry timing: when the price is around $2,430, a 'volume expansion + small bullish candlestick continuous increase' occurs, take a light position (no more than 15% of total funds).
- Stop-loss protection: below $2,410 (just stabilized support broken), stop loss immediately.
- Target profit: directly look towards $2,470, take profit after reaching, waiting for a second opportunity.
Key logic
- Linked effect: ETH's trend relies on BTC, if BTC stabilizes at $105,500, the probability of ETH rebounding increases, can synchronize layout with BTC's strength.
- Chip distribution: $2,400-$2,430 is last week's dense transaction area, few trapped positions, small selling pressure, easy to form a rebound starting point.
(Note: The above is personal interpretation and does not constitute investment advice! Cryptocurrency is highly volatile!)#币安Alpha上新