#INIT #AltcoinAnalysis #CryptoStrategy
1. Overview of multi-timeframe price trend
⏱️ 15-minute frame
• MA(7) < MA(25) → slight downtrend.
• MA(99) = 0.9408 → long-term support area.
• RSI = 51.31 → neutral.
• MACD = -0.0018 → unclear trend.
• Volume: Very weak, no short-term cash flow yet.
🕐 1-hour frame
• MA(7) > MA(25) → short-term bullish signal.
• RSI = 58.16 → approaching overbought.
• MACD = 0.0105 (DIF crosses up DEA) → short-term buy signal.
• Volume: Below average, not enough strength to confirm breakout.
⏳ 4-hour frame
• MA(7) < MA(25) → medium-term downward pressure.
• RSI = 39.57 → close to oversold area, could reverse.
• MACD = -0.0185 (DIF crosses down DEA) → sell signal.
• Volume: Clearly lack of buying power.
📅 1-day frame
• MA(7) = 1.1041 > MA(25) = 0.8590 → clear long-term uptrend.
• RSI = 46.76 → neutral.
• OBV = 24,654,365.4 (positive) → sustainable accumulation of cash flow.
2. Proposed trading strategy
✅ Preferred scenario: Buy on dip
• Expected entry point: 0.9500 – 1.0000
→ Support area according to MA(25) 4H frame.
• Support conditions:
• RSI 4H frame still close to oversold.
• Price does not break MA(99) daily.
🎯 Take profit target:
• 1.4480 – strong resistance in daily frame (previous peak according to 4H frame data).
🛑 Stop loss:
• Below 0.8590 – MA(99) daily range.
📈 Probability of success:
• ≈ 65% if confirmed by volume and clear reversal signals on 4H frame.
3. Risk warning
• MACD in 4H frame remains negative → Need to be cautious of a short-term downturn before recovery.
• Weak volume in shorter frames → Risk of failed breakout if lacking cash flow.
• RSI 1H frame approaches overbought → Possible short-term fluctuations before establishing a clear trend.
4. Conclusion
• Long-term trend $INIT still strong, however short – medium term price action is still weak.
• The most suitable strategy is to wait for a buy on the dip, avoid FOMO at high price levels.
• Need to closely monitor price behavior around support area 0.95 – 1.00 and MACD signal in 4H frame before entering.