Crypto is not a financial market – it's a psychological game. And you are in the middle of the stage of the 'art of shearing sheep'.
Stay alert, because the following loop keeps repeating:
1. BTC slightly increases → altcoin slightly green → people FOMO into it.
2. BTC adjusts a little, altcoin bleeds deeper.
3. BTC bounces back → altcoin recovers 20-30% → people think 'this is the cycle' → they go in again for the second time.
4. Confidence gradually diminishes, altcoin loses its recovery potential. Whales win again.
Will altcoins from the last 2-3 years return to ATH? Almost NO.
• Heavy tokenomics, continuous unlocks.
• Developers quietly work on new projects, with no reason to push prices back up.
• New money is no longer interested in 'old coins'.
The more you DCA, the more diluted your capital becomes.
DCA in the wrong place = going deeper into the trap.
Techcoins are being dumped – Meme coins are mooning.
• Sounds unreasonable but it's true.
• Meme coins are 'gambling with risk management', techcoins are 'serious projects but being bled by funds'.
The truth: 80% of this market is a Ponzi scheme revolving around psychology.
There is no sustainable cash flow, only trust and FOMO leverage.
• Don't DCA weak coins – the more you DCA, the more you die.
• Don't FOMO into meme coins – unless you are determined to gamble.
• Always look at BTC and macro cash flow before trading altcoins.
• Technical analysis is just the final part of the logic chain.