According to historical data shared by Bitcoin Magazine Pro, the months from June to September have traditionally been the lowest-performing period for BTC. However, even though this period is known for modest returns, it is not necessarily devoid of profits.

Seasonal slowdown?

Looking at Bitcoin's seasonal chart will show the average returns for each month:

  • June: +1.38%

  • July: +10.33%

  • August: +2.15%

  • September: -1.83%

Overall, these four months still achieve an average gross return of 12.03%, indicating that while performance may lag compared to other months, it does not necessarily mean a significant drop.

Stronger months

Historically, Bitcoin has shown much higher returns in:

  • October: +19.46%

  • November: +43.74%

  • March: +12.02%

  • February: +11.40%

These months highlight the growth momentum often discussed in Q4 in the cryptocurrency market.

What can investors do?

The data supports a more nuanced approach than simply 'sell in May.' While summer returns are modest — and even negative in September — completely exiting the market could mean missing out on July's historically solid average of over 10%.

Ultimately, an investor's strategy will depend on their risk appetite, market outlook, and time frame. Some may choose to reduce exposure or rebalance during this seasonal weakness, while others may stay the course, anticipating a stronger recovery in Q4.