5.16 Evening Bitcoin Latest Market Analysis and Strategy
Currently, Bitcoin's overall market shows a high-level range oscillation pattern. After a strong return of bulls, bears have not gained significant performance opportunities. Although the price is in an upward trend, it faces severe resistance above and has not broken through previous highs, resulting in insufficient continued upward momentum. The market has formed a game balance between rebounds and pressures, with the intraday upward oscillation speed slowing down, and high-level resistance concentrated near the upper track of the technical channel.
2. Technical Analysis - Four Hour Chart Analysis
The four-hour chart shows that the upper Bollinger Band forms strong resistance, and the rebound attempts in the latter half of the week have not effectively broken through this resistance level. The technical indicators KDJ show a divergent upward trend, and MACD also indicates signs of forming a golden cross, but both have slow upward momentum, suggesting that the market is unlikely to break through the existing range in the short term, and is likely to maintain an oscillation pattern. In the hourly chart, technical indicators show subtle changes: KDJ and MACD are slightly turning downward, indicating that bulls' volume has decreased, and short-term pullback pressure has increased. However, the lower and middle tracks of the Bollinger Band are rising simultaneously, forming a support line that limits the downward space. Therefore, even if there is a demand for short-term adjustments, the risk of deep downward movement is relatively low, and the market may maintain narrow fluctuations within the range.
3. Operational Suggestions
Based on the current technical situation and market sentiment, it is recommended to adopt a "sell high, buy low" strategy and operate flexibly within the oscillation range.
Range: 102500-15500
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