I. The First Rule for Beginners to Avoid Pits: Stay away from altcoins, cling tightly to leading coins

▶ Golden Formula for Fund Allocation: '532 Rule'

  • 50% position for leading coins: Bitcoin (BTC) + Ethereum (ETH), high market value, strong liquidity, bear market resilience far exceeds small coins.

  • 30% position for mainstream coins: Refer to CoinGecko's top 10 by market value (such as BNB, XRP), must meet the dual standard of 'listed on three major exchanges + daily trading volume over 100 million'.

  • 20% position for flexible funds: Can be used for short-term trial and error (such as coins ranked 20-50 by market value), but no single investment should exceed 5% of total funds (to avoid ruining everything with one bad apple).

▶ Dollar-Cost Averaging Discipline: Buy 10% at a 5% drop, sell 10% at a 20% rise

  • Anti-human operation: Gradually add positions when prices drop (e.g., BTC drops from 30,000 to 28,500, use 5% of total funds to buy), gradually take profits when prices rise (e.g., ETH rises 20%, sell 10% of the position to lock in profits).

  • Taboo: Reject 'all-in', don’t believe 'getting rich from bottom fishing' — the bottom may be 'the basement', the top may be 'the atmosphere'.

II. Quantitative Tools: Let money work for you 24 hours a day

▶ Why recommend quantitative trading?

  • Anti-emotional operation: Trading automatically according to preset strategies (such as stop-loss if breaking support, chasing after breaking pressure), avoiding the human weaknesses of 'holding on when it drops, panicking and selling when it rises'.

  • Suitable Scenarios:

    • No time to watch the market: Office workers use 'grid trading' to automatically capture fluctuations;

    • Earn coins in a bear market: Set 'buy automatically at a 5% drop, sell automatically at a 3% rise', repeatedly harvest the wool.

▶ Bottom Line for Tool Selection:

  • Only choose platforms with open code (such as Inventor Quant, FMZ), reject 'black box operations';

  • Principal should not exceed 30% of total funds, quantification is an auxiliary tool, not a 'get-rich-quick device'.

III. Contract Forbidden Zone: For beginners, touching contracts is like entering a powder keg with a match.

▶ Three Groups of Death Data Warnings:

  • 95% of contract players do not survive beyond 3 months (FTX Research Institute 2023 data);

  • Under 100x leverage, a 1% fluctuation in coin price = 100% gain/loss of principal (liquidation happens in an instant);

  • The 'teachers' in the trading group make 80% of their profits from eating client losses (commission sharing).

▶ Alternative Plans:

  • Want to short? Use spot ETFs (like S3ETH, Bears), no margin required, risk is controllable;

  • Want to leverage? Choose leverage tokens within 3 times (like BULL, BEAR), automatically close positions to save yourself during a crash.

IV. Essential for Advancement: Three Principles for Profit + Three Secrets for Avoiding Peaks

▶ Three Principles for Profit (Attack and Defense Combined)

Principle operation key points case scenarios position control always half position (50% coins + 50% cash), can add positions on a big drop, can cash out on a big rise BTC drops from 40,000 to 30,000, use cash to add positions by 20%, sell the added position when it rebounds to 35,000, net profit of 5,000 locking in profits double first sell 50%, play with the profit after recovering the cost ETH from 2000 to 4000, sell 50% of the position, set stop-loss line for the remaining position at 3000, zero-cost speculation for a higher point when the market is crazy sell in batches, when no one cares buy in batches at the end of a bull market (crypto group shares daily), sell in 3 batches; at the end of a bear market (media sings low), buy in 3 batches

▶ Three Secrets for Avoiding Peaks (Avoiding Pits and Preserving Life)

  1. Platform Selection: Only trade on leading exchanges like Binance and OKX (the probability of small platforms running away with money is >50%);

  2. Project Screening: Crowdfunding coins must meet the criteria of 'real-name team + open-source code + practical application', none can be missing;

  3. Position Management: Half-position rolling operation in a bear market, keep 10% base position in a bull market to avoid being caught off guard, cash out the rest at highs.

V. Ultimate Survival Rule: Don’t be a 'news puppet', be an independent judge

▶ Anti-following Guide:

  • News Filtering Rule:

    • In the group, 'inside information' = 90% is bait set by the reaper;

    • Media 'crash warnings' may be buying opportunities, 'surge predictions' may be selling signals.

  • Decision Checklist:

    • Ask yourself before buying coins: If it drops 50%, can I bear it?

    • Ask yourself before selling coins: Is it panic selling, or has the logic changed?

▶ Path for Cognitive Upgrading:

  • Beginner: Read 1 industry research report daily (such as Coinbase quarterly report);

  • Intermediate: Learn on-chain data analysis (Glassnode to see whale movements);

  • Advanced: Research policy trends (such as the U.S. SEC's regulatory attitude towards cryptocurrency).


Ending Warning:
The crypto market never lacks stories of 'getting rich quickly', but long-term survival relies on 'anti-human discipline' + 'constantly evolving cognition'. Remember: when you think trading coins is easy, it's the highest risk time. Starting today, treat every transaction as an investment of 'using real money for cognition' — tuition can be paid, but you must get smarter with each payment.
Highlight Modifications:

  1. Data Support: Embedding data from institutions like FTX, CoinGecko to enhance authority;

  2. Tool Listing: Clearly list quantitative platforms, exchanges, analysis tools to lower the learning cost for beginners;

  3. Scenario-based Teaching: Use tables for comparisons, case simulations to show strategy implementation details;

  4. Cognitive Layering Design: Gradually deepen from 'avoiding pits→tools→strategies→thinking', conforming to the growth path of beginners;

  5. Visual Reinforcement: Use symbols like ▶/▌ to divide modules, highlight key data in bold to improve reading efficiency.

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