Bitcoin is witnessing a resurgence of retail interest as on-chain data shows a noticeable uptick in activity from small investors. According to a recent report by CryptoQuant on-chain analyst Carmelo Aleman, wallets holding less than $10,000 in BTC have increased their holdings by 3.4% between April 28 and May 13, marking a pivotal shift in sentiment among everyday crypto users. Retail investors, while typically more reactive and less precise in timing compared to institutional players, serve as a key barometer of market mood. Aleman noted that their return could spark a “positive feedback loop,” reinforcing bullish sentiment and attracting new entrants.
“This shift in retail behavior could mark the beginning of a broader wave of mass adoption across the cryptocurrency space,” said Aleman.
Key Indicators Supporting the Surge
BTC: Retail Investor 30-Day Change has turned decisively positive since April 28.
Increased activity in metrics such as new addresses, active wallets, and UTXO count supports the retail comeback.
Rising transfer volume aligns with previous bull market signals.
Aleman added that retail’s renewed confidence could spill over into other crypto sectors such as DeFi, staking, and futures, accelerating momentum across the ecosystem.
Bullish Momentum vs. Caution Flags
Despite this upward trend, some indicators suggest caution. According to CryptoQuant contributor EgyHash, the Exchange Stablecoins Ratio (USD) has spiked to 5.3 during Bitcoin’s recent rally to $104,000.
“When this ratio climbs above 5.0, it often signals that BTC reserves on exchanges outweigh stablecoin reserves, indicating potential selling pressure,” EgyHash warned.
A previous spike to 6.1 in January 2025 preceded a swift price correction, raising concerns that some investors may be preparing to rotate back into fiat or stablecoins.
Still, technical indicators remain largely bullish. Stochastic RSI is signaling renewed buying strength, and BTC price at press time stands at $103,993, up 0.3% in the past 24 hours.
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