Trading pair: ETH/USDT
Current price: ~2.480
24h volatility: +6.2%
Daily frame volume: ~1.01M (unusual)
Multi-timeframe technical analysis:
1. Trend (EMA):
• Short-term (15 minutes – 1 hour): EMA(7) > EMA(25) > EMA(99) → uptrend is still controlling the market.
• Long-term (4 hours – 1 day): Most recent EMA at 2.403 is surpassing longer EMA → sign of weakening uptrend and possible reversal.
2. Trend strength (RSI):
• Daily frame: RSI(6) = 87.94 → clearly overbought, warning of potential deep correction.
• 4-hour frame: RSI(6) = 75.54 → in overbought zone.
• 1-hour & 15-minute frame: RSI is turning back to average zone → sign of short-term weakening.
3. Momentum (MACD):
• Daily frame: Strong positive MACD (88.92) → indicates still room for long-term growth.
• 4-hour frame: Slightly negative MACD (-0.97) → early warning of potential weakness.
• 1-hour frame: Positive MACD (15.65) → supporting short-term uptrend.
4. Trading volume (VOL):
• Daily frame: Volume spikes → could be a distribution signal.
• 4-hour frame: Volume is decreasing below MA5 → money flow is gradually retreating.
• 1-hour frame: Volume lower than average → lacks support for the uptrend.
Suggested trading strategy:
Scenario 1 – Priority: Short when breaking support
• Entry: Below 2.403 (EMA7 daily frame)
• Stop-loss: Above 2.583 (EMA7 4-hour frame)
• Take-profit: Target 2.149 (EMA99 daily frame)
• Probability of success: ~65%
• Reason: Clearly overbought RSI, large volume could be a distribution signal, MACD 4h has turned negative.
Scenario 2 – Buy on momentum (less priority):
• Condition: Price stays above 2.583 (EMA7 4h frame) and RSI 1h > 50
• Stop-loss: Below 2.459 (EMA25 4h frame)
• Take-profit: 2.738 (resistance zone 1-hour frame)
• Probability of success: ~45%
• Reason: Overall trend is overbought, prone to bull trap if confirmation volume is lacking.
Risk management principles:
• Do not trade when MACD in 4h frame is negative.
• Only enter trades with agreement between at least 3 main timeframes.
• Closely monitor actual volume when price retests EMA support/resistance zones.
• Do not use more than 5% of total capital for each trade.
Trading ETH futures at: