📉 CPI COOLS DOWN BUT $BTC STILL HASN'T BROKEN THROUGH? – A BIG WAVE IS ABOUT TO HIT

The CPI data for April 2025 just released has brought a sigh of relief to the financial community, but the crypto market hasn't reacted as strongly as expected. This is creating an unusual calm – the calm before a big storm?

📊 CPI Data for April 2025

Overall CPI: Up 0.2% compared to last month, 2.3% compared to the same period last year — lower than the expected 2.4%.

Core CPI (excluding food and energy): Up 0.3% last month, 2.8% compared to the same period — continuing the downward trend.

=> A clear signal that inflationary pressures are cooling down, reinforcing expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates in the coming months.

📈 How did Bitcoin react?

Before the CPI announcement: BTC slightly adjusted, dropping to the $102,400 range due to defensive sentiment and profit-taking.

Right after the announcement: BTC jumped to $103,700, but still hasn't escaped the old fluctuation range.

Market sentiment: Cautious, waiting for clearer signals from the Fed or other macro factors.

🔮 Short-term outlook

- US-China trade agreement: If positive progress is made, investment flows could shift towards riskier assets like crypto.

- Spot Bitcoin ETF: Cash flow remains slightly negative, but signs of a slowdown in capital withdrawal could open up a new bullish cycle.

- Monetary policy: All eyes are on the upcoming Fed meeting. If dovish signals (easing) are sent, BTC could break out of the $105K range.

Conclusion: Low CPI is a catalyst, but not enough “fire” to ignite bullish momentum. However, with many positive factors forming, analysts believe Bitcoin is just compressing – before it explodes.