Recently, the market has gone up, but it always feels off.

Everyone in the market is saying that the Fed will raise rates only after a rate cut, but it hasn't cut rates yet, so why has it started early?

Isn’t that a bit unusual?

Let me share a perspective for everyone to consider, it may not be right, so please judge for yourself:

Could it be that the main players are going against the trend?

Everyone is waiting for a rate cut, and they might just push the market up before the cut, then when the real cut happens in July, they can create a peak and unload their positions?

Think about it, now that the market is up, many people are afraid of missing out, and when the rate cut actually happens, it will certainly get crazier, making everyone think a bull market is coming, and they will rush in with their eyes closed.

At that time, the main players can distribute their chips to these "enthusiastic" investors.

Of course, this is just my personal thought, if you have any ideas, feel free to discuss them in the comments!

🔥 Current Market Guide (2025 Passive Income Version)

50576971853: The US-China tariff negotiations have made progress, and the stock market is going crazy. As for Bitcoin, haha! The probability of a pullback at this position is quite high, so it’s advisable to short with a small position to hedge against risks.

87574605452: It has gone up again, not sure what the specific news is, so let's not speculate. Continue to lock in 190 points for short selling, and currently, the only platform that can reliably yield profits is Binance Alpha.

14450402811: You might want to consider withdrawing a portion of the principal, leaving the profits to play with. Only eat the most succulent part of the fish, leaving the tail for others.

Some important news from yesterday:

1. China will suspend the imposition of an additional 24% tariff on US goods for 90 days, retaining the remaining 10% tariff.

2. Ethereum's market value has surpassed Alibaba, rising to 39th place in global asset market capitalization.

Returning to today's daily BTC technical analysis, from the K line perspective, the 1-hour level is up, the 4-hour level is down, the 12-hour level is down, and the daily level is up. The intraday resistance is at 105,500, and the support level is at 99,500 USD. Those who bought below 80,000 can consider taking most of it out now.

Disclaimer: Personal trading diary, not investment advice! This article comes with a 50% reverse indicator buff, don’t blame me if the market goes against you.