$BTC Short-Term Trading (1-24 Hours)
* Bullish Scenario:
* If BTC breaks above 103,000 with strong volume, it could signal a continuation of the uptrend, targeting 104,000 or even 105,500 (the recent high).
* The positive money inflow and buy-side dominance in the order book support this scenario
* Entry: Consider a buy above 103,000 with a stop-loss below 102,000.
* Target: 104,500–105,500.
* Stop-Loss: 101,500 (below the recent support).
* Bearish Scenario:
* If BTC fails to hold 102,000 and breaks below 101,000, it could signal a deeper correction, potentially targeting 100,000 (a psychological level).
* The recent sharp drop from 105,500 suggests that some selling pressure remains.
* Entry: Consider a short below 101,000 with a stop-loss above 102,000.
* Target: 100,000.
* Stop-Loss: 102,500.
Long-Term Trading (1 Week to 1 Month)
* Bullish Scenario:
* The overall trend remains strongly bullish, with BTC near its all-time high and significant money inflows (11,191.8270 BTC over 5 days).
* A break above 105,500 could lead to a new all-time high, potentially targeting 110,000 or higher.
* The long-short ratio and positive net inflow support this outlook.
* Entry: Consider accumulating on dips around 100,000–101,000, or wait for a confirmed breakout above 105,500.
* Target: 110,000–115,000.
* Stop-Loss: 98,000 (below major support).
* Bearish Scenario:
* If BTC fails to reclaim 105,500 and breaks below 100,000, it could signal a deeper correction, potentially targeting 95,000 or lower.
* The reduction in margin debt and potential for long-position liquidations (due to the high long-short ratio) could exacerbate a downturn.
* Entry: Consider a short below 100,000 with a stop-loss above 101,000.
* Target: 95,000.
* Stop-Loss: 102,000.
7. Key Risks and Considerations
* Volatility: BTC has shown significant volatility (a 5,101 USDT range in 24 hours). Be prepared for sharp moves in either direction.
* Liquidation Risk: The high long-short ratio (41.0) means that a sudden price drop could trigger liquidations, leading to further downward pressure.
* Macro Factors: The news headline mentions a “US-China Deal,” which could impact market sentiment. Positive geopolitical developments might support BTC’s uptrend, while negative news could lead to a sell-off.
* Market Sentiment: The positive money inflow and buy-side dominance suggest bullish sentiment, but the recent correction indicates that some traders are taking profits.
8. my opinion would be:
* Short-Term: BTC is in a consolidation phase after a sharp correction from its recent high. The positive money inflow and buy-side pressure in the order book suggest a potential bounce, but a break below 101,000 could lead to further downside. Watch key levels (103,000 for upside, 101,000 for downside) for short-term trades.
* Long-Term: The overall trend remains bullish, supported by strong inflows and a high long-short ratio. Accumulating on dips (around 100,000–101,000) or waiting for a breakout above 105,500 could be a good strategy for long-term positions.
