#INDIA#indvspak

Given Pakistan’s current economic conditions, it is not in a strong position to conduct or sustain a full-scale war, especially with a country like India. Here’s a concise breakdown:

1. Economic Instability

• High debt burden: Pakistan’s external debt is over $125 billion, and it has struggled to service this without bailouts.

• IMF dependence: Pakistan has repeatedly sought IMF assistance to avoid default, which typically comes with strict fiscal constraints.

• Low forex reserves: Foreign exchange reserves have been critically low—at times covering just a few weeks’ worth of imports.

• Inflation & unemployment: Persistent inflation, food insecurity, and high unemployment strain domestic stability.

2. Military Capability vs. Sustainability

• While Pakistan has a strong military apparatus, including nuclear weapons and experienced armed forces, sustaining a prolonged war would require economic resilience it currently lacks.

• Wars are extremely resource-intensive, requiring stable logistics, fuel, weapons manufacturing, and troop support—all of which are difficult under economic distress.

3. Geopolitical Isolation

• Pakistan’s relations with traditional allies like the US, Saudi Arabia, and China have faced complications, particularly in terms of unconditional financial and military support.

• India, by contrast, has significantly stronger global alliances and a much larger, diversified economy.

4. Internal Challenges

• Political instability and insurgency in areas like Balochistan divert military and economic resources internally.

• Public discontent due to inflation and governance issues limits the government’s ability to mobilize popular support for conflict.

Conclusion:

Pakistan may retain the capacity for limited border skirmishes or strategic posturing, but its economic fragility makes a large-scale or prolonged war highly unlikely and unsustainable.